Professor Jideofor Adibe says APC gains momentum from Mutfwang defection but warns of potential implosion if party fails to satisfy new entrants
Professor of Political Science at Nasarawa State University, Jideofor Adibe, has said that the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) currently faces no credible opposition ahead of the 2027 general elections, but warned that party defections may trigger internal instability.
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Adibe made the remarks, following Governor Caleb Mutfwang of Plateau State’s defection from the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) to the APC, where he was promised a second term.
“There seems to be no credible alternatives to the APC. What I can say about these defections for now is that it has created a momentum for the ruling party,” Adibe said.
However, he cautioned that the influx of new members could generate dissatisfaction among politicians whose ambitions may not be met, potentially creating conditions for party implosion.
“So many people are moving into the party, not all of their aspirations and ambitions will be satisfied there. That will create a bulk of dissatisfied people, which potentially… could become a recruiting ground for a credible alternative,” he explained.
Adibe added that while existing opposition parties have issues limiting their appeal, defections could rapidly shift political momentum if a credible alternative emerges.
“Even if the ADC gets only five seats, the momentum will seem to shift very dramatically to its side,” he said.
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His analysis highlights the dual effect of high-profile defections: consolidating the ruling party in the short term while sowing the seeds for internal challenges if political ambitions remain unmet.
